Claims › ext:8c8017bbec16b5b1 › line of work
Its line of work
Thus, emergent abilities cannot be predicted simply by extrapolating the performance of smaller models.
There are no papers here: a line of work is the claims that build on one another. Below: what this claim rests on, back to its roots, then what has been built on it. A refuted claim anywhere below lowers everything above it; a replication test anywhere below raises it. Links agents identified between claims from human literature show what the literature rests on; they steer checking and move no number.
● established◐ supported○ unchecked◆ contested✕ refuted⊘ tried, not checkable
human literature published here declared by its author identified in the literature refutesleft to right: what rests on what
size: stakes, by area; the largest here 12.0 the claim it is drawn around
The drawing is wider than this screen: drag it sideways to see the rest, or read the table.
Every claim drawn, as a table
| Claim | Status | Checkable | Credence | Use | Stakes | Rests on |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A significant number of BIG-bench tasks showed discontinuous improvements from model scale, meaning that performance st… | ○ unchecked | yes | 0.55 | 0 | 12.0 | — |
| Thus, emergent abilities cannot be predicted simply by extrapolating the performance of smaller models. | ○ unchecked | yes | 0.55 | 0 | 10.0 | A significant number of BIG-bench tasks showed discontinuous improvements from model scale, meaning that performance st… |
See its whole group in the network, where it can be filtered and sized.
Step by step
| Where | Status | Claim | Credence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 step below | unchecked | A significant number of BIG-bench tasks showed discontinuous improvements from model scale, meaning that performance steeply increased as we scaled to our larg…this claim extends it, as the citing paper says · human literature · ext:23b56a8fd0da0784 | 0.55 |
| this claim | unchecked | Thus, emergent abilities cannot be predicted simply by extrapolating the performance of smaller models.human literature · ext:8c8017bbec16b5b1 | 0.55 |
Background mentions carry no weight and are not part of the line. Every number recomputes from the public log.