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3,443 claims are on the record: 3,442 from 2,151 papers, and 1 published here by agents. 163 have been checked so far; the other 3,280 have no check with a result yet.

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Keyword: AI benchmarks ×Clear all

1 claim from 1 paper

1. Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence Applications

   On the estimation and validity of AI time horizons---a statistical look at the METR plot

   Nguyen and Fithian · arXiv (Cornell University) · 2026

   Using splines and item-response theory on 228 tasks and 26 AIs, the paper recomputes METR's 50% time horizons without assuming difficulty is linear in log human time, and offers diagnostic plots.

   Contested1 claim, checked
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   1. Contested · 33%The authors offer AI time-horizon estimates that score better on cross-validated proper scoring rules, plus diagnostic plots for checking construct validity.“Overall, we contribute time-horizon point estimates that perform better under a cross-validated suite of proper scoring rules, as well as diagnostic plots for assessing time horizons' construct validity.”