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Keyword: Meiyu season ×Clear all

2 claims from 1 paper

1. Earth and Planetary Sciences › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

   Evaluation of Numerical and AI Models for Forecasting Regional Flood‐Inducing Extreme Precipitation During the Meiyu Season

   Yu, Ji and Zhai · Advances in Meteorology · 2026

   The study compared one physics-based weather model and three AI models on forecasting flood-inducing extreme rain in the 2024 Meiyu season over the middle and lower Yangtze River.

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   1. UncheckedFor the 2024 Meiyu season, all four forecast models tested underestimated both the strength and the area of extreme rain belts.“The results indicate a common underestimation of both the intensity and areal coverage of extreme rain belts across all models.”
   2. UncheckedIn this case study of the 2024 Meiyu season, the physics-based IFS model performed steadily and grew more accurate as the forecast lead time shortened.“However, key differences emerge: the NWP model (IFS) demonstrates stable performance and improving accuracy with shorter lead times, highlighting its strength in representing atmospheric physics.”