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Status: Unchecked ×Keyword: fiscal governance ×Clear all

3 claims from 1 paper

1. Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

   Nonlinearity in the Debt-Growth Nexus in the EU: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Threshold Regression

   Mihajlović · Politická ekonomie · 2025

   The study uses a dynamic panel threshold regression on 27 EU economies from 2000 to 2022 to estimate how public debt affects growth, and finds a threshold that differs across country groups.

   Unchecked3 claims
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   1. UncheckedIn a panel of 27 EU economies, public debt is linked with higher growth below a 68.7% threshold and with lower growth above it.“The results for the whole panel indicate that public debt supports growth below a threshold of 68.7%, but it has a detrimental impact on growth if it is above the threshold.”
   2. UncheckedAdding crisis effects to the model supports the debt-threshold result and suggests growth was more resilient to crises where debt was below the threshold.“The validity of the findings is confirmed by including the effects of crises, which also indicates that economic growth in countries with debt below the threshold was more resilient to crisis events.”
   3. UncheckedDebt thresholds differ across EU subgroups by euro membership and debt level, so the paper says fiscal governance should differ by country.“However, the analysis of subsamples based on a country's EMU membership and the indebtedness level reveals the variety of debt thresholds, which calls for different fiscal governance across countries to reduce the negative effects of debt on economic growth.”