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Keyword: inverted U-shaped relationship ×Clear all

3 claims from 1 paper

1. Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

   Is it inverted U? Testing relationships between debt and growth: new evidence from smooth transition kink regression

   Yamaka and Maneejuk · Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2025

   The study tests whether public debt and growth have an inverted U-shaped relationship in 44 countries from 1970 to 2020, using a smooth transition kink regression model.

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   1. UncheckedUsing data on 44 countries, the study finds an inverted U-shaped link between public debt and economic growth in 8 of them.“Our results show that an inverted U-shaped relationship exists in 8 out of the 44 countries studied.”
   2. UncheckedWhere an inverted-U debt–growth link appears, the debt level at which debt turns harmful ranges from about 24% to about 97% across countries.“The turning point of this relationship, where debt levels shift from beneficial to detrimental, ranges from 23.817% to 96.674%, highlighting the variance in optimal debt levels across different countries.”
   3. UncheckedAn inverted U-shaped link between public debt and growth appears in some of 44 countries, but the debt level where it turns varies widely rather than being universal.“These findings confirm the presence of the inverted U-shaped relationship but reject the notion of a universal turning point applicable to all countries.”