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Status: Unchecked ×Keyword: old and new EU member states ×Clear all

3 claims from 1 paper

1. Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

   The Impact of Growing Public Debt on Economic Growth in the European Union

   Mencinger, Aristovnik and Verbič · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2014

   Using panel data for 25 EU member states, the paper finds an inverted U-shaped link between public debt and growth, with a lower debt turning point for newer member states than older ones.

   Unchecked3 claims
   Show 3 claims

   1. UncheckedAcross all the models tested, public debt ratios have a statistically significant non-linear effect on annual GDP per capita growth in EU countries.“The results across all models indicate a statistically significant non-linear impact of public debt ratios on annual GDP per capita growth rates.”
   2. UncheckedThe paper calculates that public debt starts to harm growth at roughly 80% to 94% of GDP in the 'old' EU member states.“Further, the calculated debt-to-GDP turning point, where the positive effect of accumulated public debt inverts into a negative effect, is roughly between 80% and 94% for the ‘old’ member states.”
   3. UncheckedFor the 'new' EU member states, the paper's estimated debt-to-GDP turning point, where debt starts to harm growth, lies between 53% and 54%.“Yet for the ‘new’ member states the debt-to-GDP turning point is lower, namely between 53% and 54%.”