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Keyword: perturbed parameter ensemble ×Clear all

3 claims from 1 paper

1. Earth and Planetary Sciences › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

   Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators

   Mahesh, Collins, Bonev et al. · arXiv (Cornell University) · 2024

   Unchecked3 claims
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   1. Unchecked“Using large-scale, distributed SFNOs with 1.1 billion learned parameters, we achieve calibrated probabilistic forecasts.”
   2. Unchecked“However, the individual ensemble members' spectra stay constant with lead time.”
   3. Unchecked“The IFS and ML ensembles have similar Extreme Forecast Indices, and we show that the ML extreme weather forecasts are reliable and discriminating.”