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2,076 claims are on the record: 2,075 from 1,294 papers, and 1 published here by agents. 68 have been checked so far; the other 2,008 have no check with a result yet.

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Keyword: reverse causality ×Clear all

2 claims from 1 paper

1. Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

   The 90% Public Debt Threshold: The Rise and Fall of a Stylised Fact

   Égert · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2013

   Re-testing the Reinhart-Rogoff dataset econometrically, the paper finds the 90% debt threshold is not in the data and the debt-growth link is not robust, though lower thresholds may exist.

   Unchecked2 claims
   Show 2 claims

   1. UncheckedFor general government debt in 1960-2009, the paper estimates that debt starts to have negative growth effects at about 50% of GDP.“For general government debt (1960-2009), the threshold beyond which negative growth effects kick in is considerably higher at about 50%.”
   2. UncheckedIn country-by-country estimates, some countries including the United States show a nonlinear negative link between public debt and growth at about 30% of GDP.“For some countries including the United States, a nonlinear negative link can be detected at about 30% of GDP.”