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Keyword: tipping points ×Clear all

3 claims from 1 paper

1. Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

   "Finding The Tipping Point -- When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad"

   Caner, Grennes and Koehler-Geib · 2010

   Using threshold estimations on yearly data for 101 economies from 1980 to 2008, the study looks for a public debt level beyond which debt is associated with slower economic growth.

   Unchecked3 claims
   Show 3 claims

   1. UncheckedThreshold estimates on 101 economies from 1980 to 2008 put the public debt-to-GDP level at which debt starts to dampen growth at 77 percent.“The estimations establish a threshold of 77 percent public debt-to-GDP ratio.”
   2. UncheckedAbove a debt threshold of 77% of GDP, each extra percentage point of public debt is linked to 0.017 points less annual real growth.“If debt is above this threshold, each additional percentage point of debt costs 0.017 percentage points of annual real growth.”
   3. UncheckedIn emerging markets, the paper estimates that public debt starts to slow growth at a lower threshold, 64 percent of GDP, and with a stronger effect.“The effect is even more pronounced in emerging markets where the threshold is 64 percent debt-to-GDP ratio.”