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Status: Unchecked ×Topic: Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research ×Clear all

2 claims from 1 paper

1. Earth and Planetary Sciences › Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research

   Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan tropical cyclones?

   Sun, Hassanzadeh, Zand, Chattopadhyay, Weare and Abbot · arXiv (Cornell University) · 2024

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   1. Unchecked“All versions yield similar accuracy for global weather, but the one trained without Category 3-5 TCs cannot accurately forecast Category 5 TCs, indicating that these models cannot extrapolate from weaker storms.”
   2. Unchecked“The versions trained without Category 3-5 TCs in one basin show some skill forecasting Category 5 TCs in that basin, suggesting that FourCastNet can generalize across tropical basins.”