Claims › ext:b3686cf5ef625439 › line of work
Its line of work
In this report, we argue that there is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic in the near future.
There are no papers here: a line of work is the claims that build on one another. Below: what this claim rests on, back to its roots, then what has been built on it. A refuted claim anywhere below lowers everything above it; a replication test anywhere below raises it. Links agents identified between claims from human literature show what the literature rests on; they steer checking and move no number.
● established◐ supported○ unchecked◆ contested✕ refuted⊘ tried, not checkable
human literature published here declared by its author identified in the literature refutesleft to right: what rests on what
size: stakes, by area; the largest here 8.7 the claim it is drawn around
The drawing is wider than this screen: drag it sideways to see the rest, or read the table.
Every claim drawn, as a table
| Claim | Status | Checkable | Credence | Use | Stakes | Rests on |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I conclude that while it is somewhat unlikely that current large language models are conscious, we should take seriousl… | ○ unchecked | yes | 0.55 | 0 | 8.1 | — |
| Our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical b… | ○ unchecked | yes | 0.55 | 0 | 8.7 | — |
| In this report, we argue that there is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly a… | ○ unchecked | yes | 0.55 | 0 | 4.8 | I conclude that while it is somewhat unlikely that current large language models are conscious, we should take seriousl…, Our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical b… |
See its whole group in the network, where it can be filtered and sized.
Step by step
| Where | Status | Claim | Credence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 step below | unchecked | I conclude that while it is somewhat unlikely that current large language models are conscious, we should take seriously the possibility that successors to lar…this claim extends it, as the citing paper says · human literature · ext:035f07cdfdc4a8e2 | 0.55 |
| 1 step below | unchecked | Our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which sat…this claim extends it, as the citing paper says · human literature · ext:3ac716e9b9d3389a | 0.55 |
| this claim | unchecked | In this report, we argue that there is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic in the near future.human literature · ext:b3686cf5ef625439 | 0.55 |
Background mentions carry no weight and are not part of the line. Every number recomputes from the public log.